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North Korea declines to react to provocations

12/22/2010

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FROM REUTERS

(Reuters) - North Korea stepped back from confrontation over "reckless" military drills by the South on Monday and reportedly issued a new offer on nuclear inspections, drawing a cautious response from Seoul and Washington.

Air-raid bunkers on the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong shook during South Korea's live-fire artillery exercise, which went on for more than 90 minutes.

But the North Korean guns that had shelled the island after a similar drill last month stayed silent, bringing a measure of relief in a crisis that raised fears of war along one of the world's most heavily fortified frontiers.

"The revolutionary armed forces of the DPRK did not feel any need to retaliate against every despicable military provocation," the official KCNA news agency said, quoting a communique from the North's Korean People's Army Supreme Command that called the drills a "childish play with fire."

The U.N. Security Council remained deadlocked in its efforts to ease tensions on the Korean peninsula, but North Korea's refraining from retaliation and the nuclear offer reportedly made to U.S. trouble-shooter Bill Richardson offered some breathing space.

Richardson, speaking to CNN from Pyongyang, said he sensed a greater flexibility among North Korean officials.

"Their tone was more positive, as if they realized they'd gone into the precipice with their very negative actions," said Richardson, who has had extensive past contacts with North Korea.

"They seemed to realize that they had maybe gone too far and now was a time to reach out," Richardson said, according to a transcript released by CNN.

But others remained worried.

"The situation is very tense," Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said in Moscow. "There can be no optimism in this situation."

The United States said North Korea's decision not to retaliate simply showed it was behaving "the way countries are supposed to act." It reacted cautiously to word of the nuclear offer, saying it would wait for concrete evidence of North Korea's intentions.

"We've seen a string of broken promises by North Korea going back many, many years," State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said. "We'll be guided by what North Korea does, not by what North Korea says it might do under certain circumstances."

South Korean financial markets took the day's events in their stride, recovering from early falls, but international investors remained concerned, with the cost of insuring South Korean sovereign debt for five years rising 10 percent.

The mercurial North had threatened it would strike back if its neighbor went ahead with the live-fire exercise.


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Koreas exhange fire

11/23/2010

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North and South on brink of war claims Russian diplomat

09/24/2010

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I am not sure what to make of this, the South recently for the first time in months sent a shipment of aid to NK, so take it with a grain of salt.
Russian diplomat warns North and South Korea are on the brink of war, a top Russian diplomat has warned, calling for both countries to exercise restraint and sit down for talks.  

By Andrew Osborn in Moscow

South Korean K-21 armoured vehicles crossing a river as part of a military drill in Yeoju, southeast of Seoul Photo: AFP In Moscow's bleakest assessment of the situation on the Korean peninsula yet, Russian deputy foreign minister Alexei Borodavkin said tensions between the two countries were running at their highest and most dangerous level in a decade.

"Tensions on the Korean Peninsula could not be any higher. The only next step is a conflict," he told foreign policy experts at a round table on the subject in Moscow.

His prediction came two months after North Korea vowed to wage "a sacred war" against South Korea and its biggest backer, the United States.

Tensions bubbled over in March after Washington and Seoul concluded that a North Korean submarine had sunk a South Korean naval vessel in the Yellow Sea. Mr Borodavkin called for the investigation into exactly who was responsible for the sinking of the vessel, the Cheonan, to be urgently closed in order to remove an obvious source of tension.

Describing the standoff between the two Koreas as a "hangover from the Cold War," Mr Borodavkin said Russia, which is one of the six countries involved in talks with North Korea over its nuclear programme, was doing all it could to try to prevent an outbreak of hostilities.

But he said responsibility for keeping peace in the volatile region was shared equally between North and South Korea. He condemned North Korea's nuclear testing programme but also criticised the way the United States and South Korea had increased their military manoeuvres in the wake of the sinking of the Cheonan.


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China pissed over US/ South Korean military exercises

08/20/2010

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North Korea False flag?

05/28/2010

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Beijing suspects false flag attack on South Korean corvette

By Wayne Madsen
Online Journal Contributing Writer


WMR's intelligence sources in Asia suspect that the March attack on the South Korean Navy anti-submarine warfare (ASW) corvette, the Cheonan, was a false flag attack designed to appear as coming from North Korea.

One of the main purposes for increasing tensions on the Korean peninsula was to apply pressure on Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama to reverse course on moving the U.S. Marine Corps base off Okinawa. Hatoyama has admitted that the tensions over the sinking of the Cheonan played a large part in his decision to allow the U.S. Marines to remain on Okinawa. Hatoyama's decision has resulted in a split in the ruling center-left coalition government, a development welcome in Washington, with Mizuho Fukushima, the Social Democratic Party leader threatening to bolt the coalition over the Okinawa reversal.

The Cheonan was sunk near Baengnyeong Island, a westernmost spot that is far from the South Korean coast, but opposite the North Korean coast. The island is heavily militarized and within artillery fire range of North Korean coastal defenses, which lie across a narrow channel.

The Cheonan, an ASW corvette, was decked out with state-of-the-art sonar, plus it was operating in waters with extensive hydrophone sonar arrays and acoustic underwater sensors. There is no South Korean sonar or audio evidence of a torpedo, submarine or mini-sub in the area. Since there is next to no shipping in the channel, the sea was silent at the time of the sinking.

However, Baengnyeong Island hosts a joint US-South Korea military intelligence base and the US Navy SEALS operate out of the base. In addition, four U.S. Navy ships were in the area, part of the joint U.S-South Korean Exercise Foal Eagle, during the sinking of the Cheonan. An investigation of the suspect torpedo's metallic and chemical fingerprints show it to be of German manufacture. There are suspicions that the US Navy SEALS maintains a sampling of European torpedoes for sake of plausible deniability for false flag attacks. Also, Berlin does not sell torpedoes to North Korea, however, Germany does maintain a close joint submarine and submarine weapons development program with Israel.


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The Korean ship sinking incident

05/24/2010

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Before reading the article below quickly peep this story about Israeli concerns about NK shipping WMD`s to Syria from May 2010, (bearing in mind the USS liberty incident)

MAIN ARTICLE
From the
democratic underground

Who am I to question the "experts", but here goes, in no particular order of importance, but just notes I make while reading:


1. Why is a new commission being convened?
The United Nations Command said Friday that it will convene a special committee to review the investigation that concluded North Korea had torpedoed a South Korean patrol ship.
http://www.stripes.com/article.asp?section=104&article=... 

Why would they do this it it was cut and dried?

2. NK vehemently denies the accusation.
North Korea dismissed the allegation Thursday that it attacked a South Korean Navy vessel in March as "sheer fabrication," ....
http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2010/05/120... 

In an unusually swift response, the North said Thursday the report was based on "sheer fabrication" and threatened "all-out war" in response to any attempt to punish it.

On Friday the communist state's official Committee for the Peaceful Reunification of Korea reiterated claims the South had fabricated the evidence.

"It just produced fragments and pieces of aluminium whose origin remains unknown as 'evidence', becoming the target of derision," a committee spokesman said in a statement on official media.


http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gq8c... 

North Korea yesterday said the conclusion by a multinational investigation team that a North Korean torpedo attacked the warship Cheonan had been “fabricated” and said it would send its own inspectors to get a firsthand look at the evidence in South Korea. 

.....The commission’s statement, delivered through the state media, said the investigation was “a sheer fabrication orchestrated by the group of traitors in a deliberate and brigandish manner to achieve certain political and military aims.” 

.....“The world will clearly see what a dear price the group of traitors will have to pay for the clumsy ‘conspiratorial farce’ and ‘charade’ concocted to stifle compatriots,” the statement said. 

http://joongangdaily.joins.com/article/view.asp?aid=292... 

3. N Korea has demanded that its inspectors be allowed to examine the evidence.
North Korea also demanded that its inspectors be allowed to visit South Korea over the weekend to conduct their own probe.

"We warn our traitors (South Korea) that they will have to present definitive proof that is suspicion-free. 

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2010/05/116... 

4. South Korea has rejected NK's demand to send a team

S. Korea Says North Korea’s Probe Demand Is ’Outrageous’
May 21 (Bloomberg) -- South Korea rejected a request from North Korea to send a team to investigate accusations that the communist nation sank a warship, South Korean Defense Minister Kim Tae Young said.

“It’s like a robber or a killer wanting to investigate himself once the trust was revealed,” Kim told reporters in Seoul today. “We will send our position to the North in this afternoon.”

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-21/s-korea-say... 

It seems like a good chance to embarrass the N Koreans by confronting them with iron-clad evidence. Why would the South refuse?

5. The experts do not appear to have hard proof that a NKJ submarine fired the missile. They just say it must have. All they seem to know for sure is this:
Investigators say a North Korean midget submarine and a support vessel left a naval base on the west coast two to three days before the attack on the South Korean corvette Cheonan on March 26 and returned to port two or three days later.

But then they switch to "believe"

The military believes that the submarine found the Cheonan on the evening of March 26 and fired a CHT-02D torpedo at the vessel from 3 km away. 
http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2010/05/21... 

Final sentence of the report: There is no other plausible explanation.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/20_05_10ji... 


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